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29 May 2020

The Importance of Turnout 


When a friend of mine said that most people in the country had by now developed
herd immunity to the lies and abusive behavior of Donald Trump, I disagreed
that any antibody against being infected by his deformed populism was reliable as a
determinant of the 2020 election.  Unfortunately, even in the case of medical vaccines,
there is still a risk that they won’t be effective preventers of disease.


It is dangerous only to rely on herd immunity, just as it was in 2016 to rely on herd rationality.  Trump’s greatest strength is the people’s lack of interest in politics.  They prefer to be entertained.  Why vote when TV is so much fun even with our ambivalence?  That’s why it’s so important to increase voter turnout, particularly in traditionally moderate states like Wisconsin, Michigan, Iowa, Florida and  Pennsylvania.


It is clear to me that a popular vote victory in those states would guarantee an electoral college majority.  Therefore, it is imperative that Trump’s opponent put his campaign in the hands of a campaign manager who will devote its attention to voters in those states who are upset with the Trump presidency.  Moreover, he or she must be able to direct a media campaign that captivates a recalcitrant electorate  and motivates them to physically cast or mail-in their ballots

The founders of our republic had a lot on their minds other than government just to survive and provide for their families in virgin territory.  They were motivated by a tyrannical ruler across an ocean and by unfair taxes.  We live in different times and our wealth has allowed us to cherish more altruistic values.  Donald Trump doesn’t share them.  Let us hope that a winning majority of voters will be convinced that we cannot afford to reelect this unconventional president; but that respect for the underlying principles of the republic should be a fundamental qualification for leadership of the nation.


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