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09 July 2020

Will Trump Fail? 


The AfD party and its affiliated faction in Germany’s military KSK unit are only few in number; but given the country’s history, they have raised concern in the country’s press and civic groups (cf. New York Times 7/4/2020).  It is easy to dismiss that worry as alarmist. However, in light of President Trump’s Mt. Rushmore speech, it may signal a dangerous global trend.

Or is it another example of the stupid vulnerability of the Donald to being taken advantage of by nefarious schemers who know a wealthy blowhard when they see one.  How many times has he gone bankrupt by undertaking casino or real estate projects that made someone else rich while harming his own creditworthiness?  It is thankfully  becoming more likely that the only political beneficiaries of his chaotic White House tenure will be xenophobic hate-mongers and racists when he fails to win reelection. 

Trump is not personally a racist or xenophobe—the people closest to him are foreign-born and Jewish.  However, his solipsism blinds him to his unearned advantage over most other folks.  He behaves as if all inequities are just a matter of fate, only to be played as they are given, like a poker deal. 

Trump doesn’t believe it necessary to change anything.  How could
ld he make anything better for himself?  If it’s good for him, why should anyone want a change?  With no empathy for he plight of others, Trump cannot understand their desire to alter their circumstances.  Like the nationalists in Germany, Trump sees a threat to his self-satisfaction in any realignment of the society in which he lives—no addition of foreign-born population, no rebalancing of the distribution of wealth.

That literally makes Trump a conservative.  He is a natural ally of rightist Republicahs.  But he has wrongly interpreted their risistance to improvement of social conditions as allegiance to irrational prejudice.  Defending and egging on the fringe elements who espouse nativism and racial hatred has begun to alienate the natural conservative political base that brought him to power in 2016.  Moreover, it has started to energize the more liberal segments of the public to realize that they have a  lot to lose by being inactive at the polls in November.

It appears that the installment of Donald Trump at the top of the American political heap is not an isolated event.  Singleminded right-wing leaders have arisen in other modern countries, including Jair Bolsonaro, Mohammed bin Salman, and Tayyip Erdogan, to name a few.  They are all would-be buddies of the Donald along with Vladimir Putin and Kim Jung Un.  Some of the eastern European leaders in the EU also espouse radical rightist policies; and there has been no weakening of the statist policies of China, India, or Iran either.

Forgive me for believing there is too much sense in America’s voting public to allow a Trump’s awkward appeal to a coalition of politically bored electorate and reactionary minority of the public to continue.  A rejection of Trump’s clumsy and harmful presumption of the presidency seems likely to happen in November.  Hopefully it will also weaken the grip on power of other more competent autocrats overseas.


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